Bihar
elections are over. Gathabandhan got two thirds majority. All media and
everyone who can utter a word are cursing BJP and laughing at their
performance. The general tone of the debate is such that
Modi should not have exposed himself
and so has become more vulnerable.
Modi government’s popularity and
performance is on the wane.
Congress would be revived by this.
Reforms would come to an end.
BJP has started losing.
Bihar is the beginning of BJP
downfall.
Modi should
not have exposed himself and so has become more vulnerable –
Modi govt lacks numbers in Rajya Sabha and they need it for reforms to be
escalated. The obstructionist Congress could be kept at bay democratically by
getting more numbers in Rajya Sabha for this more MLAs are required. So Modi is
all out to get democratically more numbers in Rajya Sabha by taking every
election serious. He wants to deliver on
his poll promises and therefore is taking all out efforts. Risk of
becoming vulnerable is there but for long term benefits for the nation this has
to be taken and endured which is what he is doing.
Modi
government’s popularity and performance is on the wane –
Not at all. People have expressed and endorsed his policies and his efforts
have been recongnised by them. They voted for mahagathabandhan because in many
seats (as much as 120) BJP was fielding their candidate for the first time as
for all these years they were with Nitish and so these constituencies were
always with JD(U). The task for BJP was first to get introduced to the
electorate. Here they voted for tried and tested Nitish who as it is had a
clean image. Remember BJP never severed ties. It was Nitish who severed ties
like Biju Janata Dal. Refer to FIRST YEAR OF MODI SARKAR - RASHTRAVRAT
Congress
would be revived by this – for anyone who is on a death bed
there is a moment of energy surge before dying. This surge is due to
gathabandhan partners.
Reforms would
come to an end – I stick my neck out and say that now with
vengeance BJP government would go for reforms. This is where BJP would gain.
Such setbacks would not allow BJP to become complacent in reforms or governance.
How much obstructionist the Congress can become this winter session, the
reforms are here to come. As it is from 2016 Mar Congress representation from
Rajya Sabha would start dwindling due to many members would end their terms.
BJP has
started losing – For last Sixty years BJP and erstwhile Jan
Sangh were losing and now is the consolidation phase of the party. One or two
elections would not make a difference. In Bihar it always played a second
fiddle to the principal party and therefore more than 120 seats the BJP
representation was never there. Only now BJP has become a principal opposition
party and a major player in state politics with 27 percentage vote share. So
for a party which played a second fiddle to become principal opposition is a
good performance and indicates that its time has not come.
Probably next
elections it would become a ruling party and who knows this government may not
last its term as RJD has more seats then JD(U)!!
Time would
tell whether it was Bihar's loss when Gathabandhan won the election. One gets what they deserve.
